Even if the AI bubble collapses tomorrow (it won’t), to see lower consumer prices you would either need old stock to be marked down or the fabs that are currently making AI cards to switch to making gaming cards and those cards to be manufactured and come through the market. That will take months. Not only does the bubble need to pop, but everyone involved needs to believe and accept that it has popped, otherwise they will continue to keep prices high and AI production high in the hope that their plans remain correct.
Remember that it’s psychologically much harder to accept making a less money than you thought, which happens when you mark down prices, compared to making more money than you thought, which happens when you mark up prices! This is why prices tend to be “downwards sticky” and so, instead of going down when demand drops/supply improves, they instead tend to stagnate while other prices continue to rise gradually with inflation.
Also, when the AI bubble pops, nobody will have any GPU money because they need it to bail out the AI companies to prevent the global economy from blowing up and flinging the entire cosmos into Satan’s buttcrack.
By that time, nobody will be able to blink without AI because everyone is using it all the time for everything even though everyone knows the AI bubble is going to pop and the world will go to shit because everyone depends on AI.
I have no idea what we’re doing, but I’m sure it’s fun to watch from far away.
But the LLM tech is cool to experiment with, and there are useful use cases, but trying to run frontier class open source LLMs takes a boat load of VRAM lolol
Even if the AI bubble collapses tomorrow (it won’t), to see lower consumer prices you would either need old stock to be marked down or the fabs that are currently making AI cards to switch to making gaming cards and those cards to be manufactured and come through the market. That will take months. Not only does the bubble need to pop, but everyone involved needs to believe and accept that it has popped, otherwise they will continue to keep prices high and AI production high in the hope that their plans remain correct.
Remember that it’s psychologically much harder to accept making a less money than you thought, which happens when you mark down prices, compared to making more money than you thought, which happens when you mark up prices! This is why prices tend to be “downwards sticky” and so, instead of going down when demand drops/supply improves, they instead tend to stagnate while other prices continue to rise gradually with inflation.
Also, when the AI bubble pops, nobody will have any GPU money because they need it to bail out the AI companies to prevent the global economy from blowing up and flinging the entire cosmos into Satan’s buttcrack.
By that time, nobody will be able to blink without AI because everyone is using it all the time for everything even though everyone knows the AI bubble is going to pop and the world will go to shit because everyone depends on AI.
I have no idea what we’re doing, but I’m sure it’s fun to watch from far away.
Who said anything about wanting gaming GPUs?
ah I didn’t realise you actually wanted to release your own model 🤔
Release? Probably not
But the LLM tech is cool to experiment with, and there are useful use cases, but trying to run frontier class open source LLMs takes a boat load of VRAM lolol
Oh no, months. That makes solving a problem implausible if the benefits can’t come till months.