Yeah, but if they spread the cost across many customers, the cost per customer is going to be much smaller, even if it doesn’t last as long before needing a replacement.
If it costs $100,000 to build a fiber line to a single home for 30 years (360 months) that house will need to pay $278/month for 30 years to break even. Throw in interest rates/inflation, and it’ll be more.
But if a satellite that costs $1.5 million to build and launch into orbit can serve even 200 customers for 5 years, that’s only $125/month per customer.
As it stands right now, Starlink serves something like 12 million customers on 10,000 satellites. So that’s an average of 1200 customers served by each satellite, which is what makes $50/month service feasible as a business.
I think you’re missing the amortization of the r+d and capital upkeep of the whole launch complex. Since the satellites have such a short lifespan you can’t only count the upfront costs of manufacturing and launching, you have to include the whole shebang. The starlink system has to include the entire Falcon 9 architecture as overhead. And since it’s so integral to their ultimate business model you should also include all the development costs of starship to each starlink satellite. The ROE probably doesn’t look so good including all that, which explains Space Ai.
You only dig fibre once. You need new starlink satellites every couple of years.
Yeah, but if they spread the cost across many customers, the cost per customer is going to be much smaller, even if it doesn’t last as long before needing a replacement.
If it costs $100,000 to build a fiber line to a single home for 30 years (360 months) that house will need to pay $278/month for 30 years to break even. Throw in interest rates/inflation, and it’ll be more.
But if a satellite that costs $1.5 million to build and launch into orbit can serve even 200 customers for 5 years, that’s only $125/month per customer.
As it stands right now, Starlink serves something like 12 million customers on 10,000 satellites. So that’s an average of 1200 customers served by each satellite, which is what makes $50/month service feasible as a business.
I think you’re missing the amortization of the r+d and capital upkeep of the whole launch complex. Since the satellites have such a short lifespan you can’t only count the upfront costs of manufacturing and launching, you have to include the whole shebang. The starlink system has to include the entire Falcon 9 architecture as overhead. And since it’s so integral to their ultimate business model you should also include all the development costs of starship to each starlink satellite. The ROE probably doesn’t look so good including all that, which explains Space Ai.